The battles in the Syrian North between the Syrian regime and its allies and the opposition forces, backed by Turkey, have entered a new stage since the collapse of the Sochi Agreement and the regime started its military campaign to restore the areas currently under the control of the opposition, as Turkey has, for the first time, publicly declared war on the Syrian regime on March 1st. Turkey has announced that it was launching a massive offensive against Bashar Al-Assad’s forces following an airstrike that killed at least 33 Turkish soldiers and injured 30 in Idlib on Feb. 27th.
On September 17, 2018, Russian and Turkish presidents agreed to create a demilitarized zone in Syria’s Idlib along the line of contact between the Syrian government forces and the armed opposition. The agreement fell apart following a chemical attack targeting Aleppo and reigniting clashes between Turkish-backed rebel forces in Idlib and the Syrian Army supported by Russian forces.
Idlib Chemical attack. (Nov. 24, 2018)
Organizations operating in a conflict zone have 2 challenges: How to create a secure work environment, and deciding when it has become too dangerous to continue operating. In order to address the latter, a general threat assessment is necessary. In which different incidents are evaluated and sorted into one of four levels. Starting with low threat, and escalating to operation shutdown. In this blog we identify incidents at each level, to make evaluating situations easier, we have added examples of past events around the world for each level.